ETH smashes records, Bitcoin’s brilliant quarter, PayPal’s big move: Hodler’s Digest, March 28–April 3

ETH smashes records, Bitcoin’s brilliant quarter, PayPal’s big move: Hodler’s Digest, March 28–April 3

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Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.

Top Stories This Week

ETH breaks record all-time high amid fresh price surge

Ether? Record high! Binance Coin? Record high! Polkadot? Record high! Bitcoin? Flat as a pancake!

Altcoins have been in the driver’s seat this week, with Ether breaking $2,100 for the very first time — besting the ATH of $2,036 that was set on Feb. 20. Curiously, several coins belonging to so-called “Ethereum killer” blockchains have been thriving, too.

ETH’s price broke out against Bitcoin for the first time in 23 days on Thursday, not long after credit card giant Visa announced it was piloting a program that will allow its partners to use Ethereum’s blockchain to settle transactions made in fiat.

Traders have now become exceedingly bullish on Ether’s prospects and are expecting more upside in the short-term, with $2,500 now in play. In particular, there’s interest in the price activity we could expect in June and July when a major improvement proposal called EIP-1559 is set to overhaul Ethereum’s existing fee structure.

The celebratory atmosphere following ETH’s all-time highs was dampened as the gas fee crisis rumbles on. The cost of using this blockchain has surged 77% in recent days, taking the average fee to an eye-watering $22.97.

April Bulls Day? Bitcoin just closed its best March and Q1 in eight years

Bitcoin may be struggling to find its footing above $60,000 right now, but at least we can take succor in how well the cryptocurrency has performed so far this year.

Despite March being a historically dreary month — with losses in six of the past nine years — BTC delivered gains of 29.84% over this 31-day period. Better still, we’re now heading into April, where BTC has only suffered negative returns twice since 2013.

Across the first quarter of the year, covering January to March, Bitcoin also gained 103%, clocking up the best performance in eight years.

Traditionally, Q2 is the strongest time of the year for Bitcoin — with only two years seeing negative returns, both under 10%. Bulls will now have their sights set on surpassing the gains of 159% seen between April and June 2019.

In other upbeat developments, BTC has just closed six consecutive monthly green candles for the first time since April 2013, and should history repeat itself, we could see further parabolic gains this year.

PayPal to start letting U.S. customers pay in Bitcoin at global merchants

Bitcoin’s bounce back from $55,000 was likely fueled by PayPal’s announcement that crypto will now be accepted as a medium of exchange at millions of global merchants.

The new feature, Checkout with Crypto, means U.S. customers will be able to “seamlessly” use their digital assets to make purchases. PayPal also supports Ether, Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash.

Crypto will be converted into fiat as soon as the transaction takes place, and the payments giant says this will create “certainty of value and no additional transaction fees.”

PayPal CEO Dan Schulman said: “Enabling cryptocurrencies to make purchases at businesses around the world is the next chapter in driving the ubiquity and mass acceptance of digital currencies.”

One fly in the ointment here concerns how America’s taxman, the Internal Revenue Service, regards crypto as property rather than currency. This means that even spending Bitcoin that has risen in value could be regarded as a taxable event.

Coinbase expects direct listing on April 14

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has given its blessing for Coinbase to make its stock market debut, with the exchange confirming it will happen on April 14. It’ll feature on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol COIN.

Coinbase had been expected to go public in March but reportedly delayed its plans after paying a $6.5-million fee as part of a settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Crypto analyst Filbfilb says the direct listing could spark “increased volatility” for Bitcoin’s price, especially if Coinbase suffers immediate sell-offs like Deliveroo did during its ill-fated IPO in London.

In other developments, Messari has compiled a report concluding that the so-called “Coinbase effect” — a popular belief that new token listings on the exchange tend to outperform launches on other exchanges — is true.

Michael Jordan, Will Smith join $305-million funding round for NBA Top Shot maker Dapper Labs

Dapper Labs has raised $305 million in a star-studded funding round — meaning it now reportedly holds a valuation of $2.6 billion.

The company, which has brought CryptoKitties and NBA Top Shot to life, says it wants to go beyond American basketball and extend the “same magic” to other sports franchises.

In other news, intrepid Cardano developers have found a way to mint bootleg nonfungible tokens — despite the fact that the blockchain doesn’t support smart contracts yet. Meanwhile, The Weeknd announced he’s releasing his first NFT via Nifty Gateway, featuring “new music and limited edition art.”

Nifty Gateway has also announced that it is planning to become carbon-negative in the near future by calculating its emissions and purchasing twice as many carbon offsets each month.

The craze behind NFTs now appears to have reached peak parody, too, after NBC’s famed Saturday Night Live sketch show addressed nonfungible tokens in a skit featuring Kate McKinnon as U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

Announcement of the week

Markets Pro delivers up to 1,497% ROI as quant-style crypto analysis arrives for every investor

It’s now been a month since Cointelegraph Markets Pro launched — bringing professional crypto market intelligence to every investor.

New figures this week showed that 41 of the 42 trading strategies tested by Markets Pro are currently beating Bitcoin’s investment returns, and 36 of them are winning against an evenly weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins.

Two key features are offered to subscribers. The first is the VORTECS™ Score, which is derived from an algorithm that examines multiple different variables (including sentiment, tweet volume, price volatility and trading volume) and compares those with historically similar marketscapes. 

And the second is NewsQuakes™: alerts on events that have historically had a significant impact on an asset’s price over the following 24 hours. 

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to subscribers on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included.

Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin is at $59,699.22, Ether at $2,111.64 and XRP at $0.63. The total market cap is at $1,965,398,828,338.

Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are Holo, BitTorrent and Helium. The top three altcoin losers of the week are Voyager Token, SwissBorg and Pundi X.

For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis

Most Memorable Quotations

“Expecting Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin for all of Q2.”

Rookie, crypto trader

“Is Theta actually worth all the hype? I am not sure because it’s too early to tell. I want to see how well their mainnet does.”

Marie Tatibouet, Gate.io chief marketing officer 

“SpaceX is going to put a literal Dogecoin on the literal moon.”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO and “Technoking”

“Bitcoin currently in between 2013 and 2017 tracks.”

PlanB, stock-to-flow model creator

“Tether-Winky, Buy the Dipsey, Laa Laa, Poor.”

@CryptoCred

“I do think Bitcoin is on an inevitable path to having the same market cap and then a higher market cap as gold.”

Mike Novogratz, Galaxy Digital CEO

“We are working closely with teams across the firm to explore ways to offer thoughtful and appropriate access to the ecosystem for private wealth clients, and that is something we expect to offer in the near term.”

Mary Rich, Goldman Sachs head of digital assets

“This is the first time you can seamlessly use cryptocurrencies in the same way as a credit card or a debit card inside your PayPal wallet.”

Dan Schulman, PayPal CEO

“A part of the problem with Bitcoin is 90% of it is not done in the United States. 90% of it is done in countries that have dirty energy. So that’s the reason why it’s considered to be a dirty activity.”

Francis Suarez, Miami mayor

Prediction of the Week

One BTC will be worth a Lambo by 2022, and a Bugatti by 2023: Kraken CEO

After previously declaring that Bitcoin will be worth “infinity” in the future (Digests passim), Kraken CEO is making a triumphant return to Prediction of the Week.

Speaking to Bloomberg, Jesse Powell was keen to offer alternatives to measuring Bitcoin’s value in dollars — by comparing future price action to high-end sports cars… which can also have their value measured in dollars.

Powell said that one Bitcoin, which is currently worth a Tesla Model 3, could be worth one Lambo by the end of this year… and one Bugatti by 2023.

He added: “There could be 10 times as many U.S. dollars out there a year from now, so it’s really hard to measure Bitcoin against the dollar.”

FUD of the Week 

iPhone user blames Apple for $600,000 Bitcoin theft via fake app

A scam cryptocurrency app in Apple’s App Store has reportedly swindled 17.1 BTC from one unsuspecting user.

Phillipe Christodoulou had thought he had downloaded official Trezor software, given how it had many five-star reviews. Little did he know that the company doesn’t currently provide such an app.

After entering his seed phrase, Christodoulou says his funds were stolen. His crypto haul was worth $600,000 at the time, but now it’s worth $1 million.

The Washington Post reports that he has now filed a report with the FBI, but it seems the victim is reserving most of his anger for the tech giant: “They betrayed the trust that I had in them. Apple doesn’t deserve to get away with this.”

Trezor spokesperson Kristyna Mazankova told Cointelegraph that the firm has been fighting fraudulent apps for years — but claimed the wallet company “never gets any response from either Apple or Google.”

Oops! A 100% Bitcoin hodl outperformed CNBC’s 2017 altcoin basket by 170%

Ah, 2017. A crazy time that was slap bang in the middle of the ICO boom.

An investment portfolio that was championed by CNBC at the time has now resurfaced, which was made up of 30% Bitcoin and 70% altcoins.

Four years on, those who invested $10,000 at the time would now have about $52,300. Had they just bought and hodled Bitcoin, they would now have over $140,000.

StatsBTC, which crunched the numbers, noted: “The 30% #BTC allocation is responsible for 75% of the return.”

South Korean government makes $10.5-million profit from four-year-old Bitcoin crime haul

South Korean prosecutors have finally sold a Bitcoin haul they confiscated from a criminal in 2017, and it’s worth $10.5 million more than it was at the time of the arrest.

This is believed to be the first time that authorities in the country have sold confiscated Bitcoin — and at the time the crypto was seized, it was worth a paltry $238,000.

In late March, the South Korean government enacted widespread crypto-specific laws for the first time, putting more pressure on exchanges and virtual asset service providers to use real-name trading accounts and to report their activities to Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit. 

Best Cointelegraph Features

A new era of content monetization? Blockchain tech can get you paid

Current content monetization systems are seen as broken, but some blockchain solutions claim to hold the key to solving their issues.

Making DeFi idiot-proof with Kava’s gamer CEO, Brian Kerr

Kerr says a major reason that decentralized finance has not yet hit the mainstream is that “93% of holders are never gonna touch their own keys.”

This is how to make — and lose — a fortune with NFTs

The rise of nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, has been nothing short of astounding this year. Google searches for “NFT” are up over 600% since mid-February.


Zur Quelle
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Bitcoin HODLers are not selling: Inactive BTC supply hits 3-month low

Bitcoin HODLers are not selling: Inactive BTC supply hits 3-month low

Bitcoin supply that has not moved for over two years has hit a 3-month low, indicating conviction from long-time HODLers.

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Long-time Bitcoin (BTC) HODLers are refraining from selling their holdings, on-chain data from Glassnode shows.

According to Glassnode’s „BTC Percent Supply Last Active 2+ Years“ indicator, Bitcoin that was last moved well over two years ago reached a three-month low to 45.364%.

BTC Percent Supply Last Active 2+ Years. Source: Glassnode

This trend indicates that Bitcoin HODLers who bought around the top of the last bull cycle in 2018 and before are showing deeper conviction as BTC consolidates above $55,000. Interestingly, the spike during December 2020 suggests that many may have sold at a breakeven of around $20,000, or the previous all-time high in late 2017.  

Why is Bitcoin consolidating with low volatility bullish?

Bitcoin typically tops or sees a severe correction when long-time holders begin to sell rapidly.

In previous bull cycles, the sell-off from HODLers taking profit on their positions led to swift 50% drops, leading the entire cryptocurrency market to pullback intensely within short periods.

This trend coincides with the fact that HODLers are not selling a significant amount of BTC, indicating that the top could still be faraway from being reached.

Bitcoin stabilizing at around $55,000 is highly optimistic because of two main reasons. First, BTC has maintained a strong market structure despite some headwinds. Second, BTC consolidating closely under an all-time high is technically a positive sign.

In the past two weeks, Bitcoin faced major threats that could have catalyzed a serious short-term downturn.

Namely, the U.S. Treasury yields surged. This often causes tech stocks to drop-off, which negatively affects all risk-on markets.

Atop this, as CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju explained, miners are holding a lot of Bitcoin that they have not sold in recent months. In fact, the amount of BTC moved by miners was significantly less compared to previous pullbacks this year. This may suggest that miners are likely expecting higher prices down the road.

Total BTC moving from all miners‘ wallets. Source: CryptoQuant

On March 17, Ki also noted three other factors based on on-chain trends that could contribute to a stagnating uptrend for Bitcoin. He wrote at the time:

„I think $BTC would take some time to get another leg up in terms of demand/supply. 1/ Too many $BTC holdings in USD compare to stablecoin holdings on spot exchanges. 2/ BTC market cap is too big to get another leg up by leveraging stablecoin market cap solely. No significant USD spot inflows – Neutral coinbase premium, and negative GBTC, QBTC premium.“

Despite the above-mentioned risks, Bitcoin has performed relatively well, avoiding a drop below $50,000.

Is the BTC bottom in?

Well-known pseudonymous traders, including „Rekt Capital,“ have said that in the next couple days, there could be sufficient confirmation that a Bitcoin bottom could form.

Bitcoin higher low formation. Source: Rekt Capital, TradingView.com

It is difficult to predict when the exact bottom would form, but if BTC remains above $55,000 for a few days and prints a „higher low“ formation, the trader said a new rally could occur. He wrote:

„You will never truly know when the actual #BTC bottom of the retrace is But you can look for ways for how a potential bottom could be confirmed If $BTC forms a Higher Low in the next couple of days, that should be sufficient confirmation that the bottom is in.“

Therefore, as long as the price of Bitcoin holds above $55,000 in the near term, the higher low formation would be intact as the market enters April, a historically bullish month that hasn’t closed in the red since 2015.